Duggleby Weather Station

Latitude 54.0925N & Longitude -0.6609W

plaintext-parser.php Version 1.19 - 12-Aug-2010

WXSIM Forecast for: Duggleby

This afternoon Cloudy	Tonight Mostly Cloudy	Thursday Mostly Cloudy	Thursday night Mostly Cloudy	Friday Mostly Cloudy	Friday night Partly Cloudy	Saturday Mostly Cloudy	Saturday night Partly Cloudy
	<2 mm.
High: 10°	Low: 6°	High: 12°	Low: 6°	High: 11°	Low: 3°	High: 9°	Low: 2°

WeatherUnderground 7-Day Weather Forecast: Weather Forecast Malton

Thursday	Thursday Night	Friday	Friday Night	Saturday	Saturday Night	Sunday	Sunday Night

Overcast	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Mostly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy

WxSim & WU Forecast Comparison

Weather Underground (WU), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
Early Morning Forecast

Updated: 22-02-12 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
22-02-12			9			5			13			5			10			0			7			0
21-02-12			8			5			10			6			12			4			10			1
20-02-12			6			4			10			5			10			6			12			4
19-02-12			5			-3			7			5			9			6			10			7
18-02-12			8			2			6			-2			8			6			11			6
16-02-12			10			2			9			6			9			1			5			-3
15-02-12			9			1			9			5			9			6			9			1
14-02-12	8	6.8	7	3	5.6	4	12	9.8	9	1	3.9	0	11	9.5	9	1	7.3	4	11	9.2	9	0	-1.4	6
13-02-12	9	6.7	4	3	2.6	-1	9	6.8	5	1	5.6	1	12	9.8	7	-2	3.9	0	11	9.5	7	2	7.3	2
12-02-12	5	4.4	-1	-2	0.6	4	6	6.7	-3	0	2.6	5	9	6.8	-1	-2	5.6	5	13	9.8	1	-3	3.9	7
10-02-12	3	-0.7	-2	-9	-1.6	3	3	4.4	-2	-2	0.6	4	5	6.7	0	-5	2.6	6	9	6.8	-2	-1	5.6	4
09-02-12	1	0.3	5	-1	-1.4	1	3	-0.7	4	-3	-1.6	-3	1	4.4	4	-2	0.6	0	6	6.7	6	-5	2.6	-1
08-02-12	2	1.2	4	-6	-5.3	-5	2	0.3	3	-4	-1.4	0	1	-0.7	2	-3	-1.6	1	4	4.4	4	0	0.6	2
07-02-12	5	1.1	4	-10	-9	-4	0	1.2	3	-8	-5.3	-6	3	0.3	4	-5	-1.4	0	3	-0.7	5	0	-1.6	-4
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	4		2	4		2	4		3	1		3	3		2	1		3	4		3	3		2
% Succ	57.1		28.6	57.1		28.6	57.1		42.9	14.3		42.9	42.9		28.6	14.3		42.9	57.1		42.9	42.9		28.6
Ave Error	1.9		2.9	2.2		3.0	1.9		4.0	2.8		2.5	2.2		3.5	5.0		2.3	1.9		3.9	4.3		3.5
Net Error	1.9		0.2	-1.9		1.5	0.9		-1.4	-2.8		-0.5	0.7		-1.7	-5.0		-0.1	1.6		-2.2	-3.4		-0.1
Std Dev	1.9		2.9	2.2		3.0	1.9		4.0	2.8		2.5	2.2		3.5	5.0		2.3	1.9		3.9	4.3		3.5

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show WU

Mid Morning Forecast

Updated: 22-02-12 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
22-02-12			10			5			12			6			11			3			9			1
21-02-12			10			4			9			6			13			3			12			2
20-02-12			8			5			9			4			9			6			13			3
19-02-12			5			-5			6			4			9			5			9			6
18-02-12			9			1			5			-2			8			6			11			6
17-02-12			10			5			10			0			4			-2			7			4
16-02-12			10			2			9			6			9			1			5			-3
15-02-12			10			2			9			2			9			6			9			1
14-02-12	9	9.7	8	4	5.6	5	11	8.5	10	1	3.9	1	11	8.4	9	6	1.9	4	11	9.2	9	6	7.3	5
12-02-12	6	5.4	6	-2	2.6	-1	9	9.7	6	5	5.6	-1	9	8.5	4	3	3.9	1	14	8.4	8	1	1.9	0
11-02-12	-1	3.4	4	-2	-1.6	-2	5	5.4	7	-4	2.6	-2	8	9.7	7	0	5.6	2	8	8.5	6	3	3.9	4
10-02-12	3	-1.1	4	-13	-9.9	-1	1	3.4	5	-4	-1.6	0	6	5.4	6	-2	2.6	-2	9	9.7	6	4	5.6	0
09-02-12	1	0.1	3	-4	-1.4	0	2	-1.1	3	-9	-9.9	-4	1	3.4	4	-2	-1.6	0	5	5.4	6	-5	2.6	-1
08-02-12	2	0.1	5	-3	-5.3	-6	0	0.1	4	-1	-1.4	2	3	-1.1	5	-2	-9.9	4	4	3.4	6	0	-1.6	3
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	4		3	2		4	3		3	3		1	3		3	2		1	5		3	5		2
% Succ	66.7		50.0	33.3		66.7	50.0		50.0	50.0		16.7	50.0		50.0	33.3		16.7	83.3		50.0	83.3		33.3
Ave Error	2.1		2.6	2.4		2.6	1.5		2.7	2.3		4.2	2.0		2.5	3.9		4.8	1.6		1.7	2.3		3.0
Net Error	0.4		2.1	-1.7		0.8	0.3		1.5	-1.9		-0.5	0.6		0.1	0.1		1.1	1.1		-0.6	-1.8		-1.5
Std Dev	2.1		2.6	2.4		2.6	1.5		2.7	2.3		4.2	2.0		2.5	3.9		4.8	1.6		1.7	2.3		3.0

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show WU

Afternoon Forecast

Updated: 22-02-12 at 3:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
22-02-12			10			6			12			6			11			3			9			2
21-02-12			11			4			9			6			13			3			12			3
20-02-12			7			5			10			4			9			6			13			3
19-02-12			4			-6			5			3			9			4			10			6
18-02-12			8			1			5			-2			8			5			9			5
17-02-12			9			4			10			0			4			-2			7			4
16-02-12			10			2			9			6			9			1			5			-3
15-02-12			10			2			9			2			9			4			10			2
14-02-12	9	9.8	7	4	5.6	4	11	9.5	9	1	3.9	0	11	9.5	9	3	1.9	4	11	9.2	10	4	7.3	5
13-02-12	10	6.8	6	3	2.6	3	9	9.8	7	3	5.6	4	12	9.5	9	2	3.9	0	11	9.5	9	0	1.9	4
12-02-12	7	6.7	5	-2	0.6	0	9	6.8	7	5	2.6	0	9	9.8	3	1	5.6	-2	14	9.5	6	-1	3.9	0
11-02-12	1	4.4	0	-3	-1.6	-5	8	6.7	5	-4	0.6	-4	6	6.8	7	0	2.6	3	10	9.8	7	-3	5.6	4
10-02-12	3	-0.7	1	-13	-9.9	-3	1	4.4	6	-4	-1.6	-1	6	6.7	5	-2	0.6	-2	9	6.8	6	-2	2.6	0
09-02-12	1	0.1	1	-4	-1.4	8	2	-0.7	-1	-9	-9.9	6	1	4.4	1	-2	-1.6	5	5	6.7	-2	-5	0.6	6
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		4	3		3	3		5	1		2	4		4	3		1	4		3	1		1
% Succ	50.0		66.7	50.0		50.0	50.0		83.3	16.7		33.3	66.7		66.7	50.0		16.7	66.7		50.0	16.7		16.7
Ave Error	2.1		2.1	2.0		3.7	2.0		1.2	2.6		4.9	1.6		2.2	2.2		3.9	2.0		2.9	4.8		3.0
Net Error	0.7		-1.2	-1.8		1.9	0.6		-0.6	-1.5		0.6	-0.3		-2.1	-1.8		-0.8	1.4		-2.6	-4.8		-0.5
Std Dev	2.1		2.1	2.0		3.7	2.0		1.2	2.6		4.9	1.6		2.2	2.2		3.9	2.0		2.9	4.8		3.0

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show WU

Evening Forecast

Updated: 22-02-12 at 3:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
22-02-12			10			6			12			6			11			3			9			2
21-02-12			5			10			7			13			3			11			3			7
20-02-12			5			10			6			11			6			12			3			12
19-02-12			-6			5			2			7			5			11			7			10
18-02-12			1			5			-3			7			5			10			5			11
17-02-12			6			9			3			5			-3			7			5			11
16-02-12			10			2			9			6			9			1			5			-3
15-02-12			3			10			2			9			5			10			1			4
14-02-12	4	5.6	5	11	9.8	9	1	3.9	1	11	9.5	10	3	1.9	5	11	9.5	11	4	7.3	6	9	9.2	10
13-02-12	3	2.6	3	9	6.8	7	3	5.6	4	12	9.8	9	2	3.9	2	11	9.5	10	0	1.9	4	12	9.5	9
12-02-12	-2	0.6	0	9	6.7	6	5	2.6	-1	9	6.8	5	1	5.6	-1	14	9.8	5	-1	3.9	-1	12	9.5	7
11-02-12	-3	-1.6	-6	8	4.4	4	-4	0.6	-3	6	6.7	5	0	2.6	2	10	6.8	7	-3	5.6	3	13	9.8	9
10-02-12	-12	-9.9	-8	-2	-0.7	5	-4	-1.6	0	3	4.4	7	-1	0.6	0	8	6.7	7	-2	2.6	2	7	6.8	8
09-02-12	-4	-1.4	-2	2	0.1	4	-9	-9.9	-5	1	-0.7	5	-2	-1.6	0	5	4.4	6	-5	0.6	-1	9	6.7	8
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		5	3		4	1		2	4		4	4		4	4		5	1		3	2		5
% Succ	50.0		83.3	50.0		66.7	16.7		33.3	66.7		66.7	66.7		66.7	66.7		83.3	16.7		50.0	33.3		83.3
Ave Error	1.8		1.4	2.1		2.0	2.6		3.0	1.6		2.2	2.0		2.4	2.1		1.5	4.8		2.2	1.8		1.2
Net Error	-1.7		-0.7	1.7		1.3	-1.5		-0.9	0.9		0.8	-1.7		-0.8	2.1		-0.1	-4.8		-1.5	1.8		-0.1
Std Dev	1.8		1.4	2.1		2.0	2.6		3.0	1.6		2.2	2.0		2.4	2.1		1.5	4.8		2.2	1.8		1.2

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show WU

"The clue train passed his station without stopping."

Forecast Accuracy Report on Temperature

Here at DuggleNet we're using a customised version of WXSim Professional to produce our weather forecasts. Our forecast data is collected each hour from sources such as weather buoys, weather balloons and weather stations up to 1000 miles from Duggleby itself.

To this is added the information from our own weather station including information about the current conditions. This data is then processed through the complex forecast modelling software to give our very own forecasts carried out automatically at 5am, 10am, 3pm and 8pm. As it takes time for all the relevant data to be collated and processed, the forecast usually appears on our web pages around 45 minutes later.

The purpose of the Forecast Accuracy Report is to compare our WXSIM forecasts with those of Weather Underground (WU). Four daily comparisons are run and the 'winner' in terms of temperature accuracy gets coloured green. The script also calculates the overall forecast performance and standard deviation from the mean temperature.

Welcome to the DuggleNet Weather Station based in Duggleby, which is in Ryedale in North Yorkshire, UK.

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Welcome to Duggleby Weather Station.
Live weather information from Ryedale in North Yorkshire, UK.

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